Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 275.806123 311.724036 351.672642 399.601359 455.807554 519.952833 599.156870
2025-05-25 227.634188 275.956406 334.607172 411.877583 512.261998 640.030417 817.850567
2025-06-01 196.727674 249.136716 316.358950 410.481809 541.447446 721.223347 993.922858
2025-06-08 172.440181 225.823595 297.289992 402.292267 556.730031 782.414172 1150.825679
2025-06-15 156.589815 211.065124 286.751404 402.777885 582.147368 859.744222 1345.306163
2025-06-22 141.137125 194.765626 271.583596 393.588487 590.329118 910.262456 1505.081864
2025-06-29 130.389192 183.901385 262.765664 392.280051 609.747134 980.862869 1714.064621
2025-07-06 117.638792 168.761406 245.802534 375.717973 601.046103 1000.976885 1831.994026
2025-07-13 113.711398 166.541773 248.362161 390.938995 648.492627 1129.069858 2195.383201
2025-07-20 110.523708 165.089085 251.831684 407.855582 701.159608 1276.425955 2641.229034
2025-07-27 104.889275 159.195380 247.384949 410.214518 726.670887 1374.164755 3002.174091
2025-08-03 97.709756 150.196406 236.895762 400.385329 726.857451 1418.581915 3244.873208
2025-08-10 91.264064 142.099923 227.534141 392.143437 730.164460 1472.923006 3538.338879
2025-08-17 88.600282 140.193944 228.810476 404.294110 777.835743 1638.608514 4203.554219
2025-08-24 84.174137 134.893075 223.521860 402.912562 796.018817 1737.859807 4711.782212
2025-08-31 79.234877 128.337727 215.396610 394.909546 798.177441 1797.526293 5118.663335
2025-09-07 75.860131 124.318680 211.621174 395.384033 819.850974 1912.778624 5766.252623
2025-09-14 71.572236 118.370248 203.746070 386.400866 817.763555 1963.231810 6202.924189
2025-09-21 68.559292 114.556114 199.662521 385.121701 834.314716 2070.302683 6913.491591
2025-09-28 64.050476 107.713992 189.224242 368.928247 811.251576 2056.526708 7121.721694
2025-10-05 63.324659 107.887551 192.587482 383.810626 870.333935 2306.852914 8631.728501
2025-10-12 62.761140 108.320029 196.484123 400.347352 936.831295 2600.964439 10573.499606
2025-10-19 60.787297 105.911557 194.395592 402.653033 964.698701 2774.587241 12034.405929